Latest betting on Election 2007

At present, Paddy Power has Kenny at 4-5 to be the next Taoiseach, Ahern at 5-4 and Cowen 6-1. Pat Rabbitte is 8-15 to be Tanaiste, whereas Michael McDowell has no better odds than Brendan Howlin - both are at 7-1. As for number of seats in the 30th Dail, the shortest odds are on FF to return with 63-66 seats (6-4), FG 52+ seats (10-11), Labour 23+ seats (11-10), Green party 9-10 seats (7-4), PD's 1-3 seats (11-10) and Sinn Fein 9-10 seats (11-10). If the parties get (say) 63, 52, 23, 9, 3 and 9, that would only leave 7 seats for others. With Joe Higgins a near-certainty for the Socialist party and Clare Daly in with a shout, that would leave only 5 Independents. It would also put Fine Gael, Labour and the Greens in government, with 84 seats i.e. a one-seat majority.

For the changing betting picture, see Irish Election Betting.